Stock Market Outlook entering the Week of January 17th = Uptrend
- ADX Directional Indicators: Uptrend
- Price & Volume Action: Uptrend
- Elliott Wave Analysis: Uptrend
The stock market outlook remains in an uptrend, albeit a weakening one.
The S&P500, ($SPX) closed its gap to the 200-day moving average, but still sits more than 10% above that level. Price found some support at the bottom of a potential channel on Friday.
The ADX continues to show a bullish trend, but that trend has weakened since December. With a reading under the 20-25 range, there isn’t much of a trend to follow anyway. And we picked up two distribution days in succession last week; not enough to change the signal, but not the best price action either.
Elliott Wave also remains in an uptrend, though some analysts think we may have just completed a minor wave, given the divergence in the RSI and the MACD histogram inflection/cross-over.
It’s that start of earnings season, which should make some some interesting price action over the next few weeks.
The incoming Biden administration released a $1.9 trillion fiscal-stimulus plan, and not a moment too soon, as jobless claims are coming in higher than anticipated. Other headwinds include a slower than anticipated vaccine rollout and an increase is COVID cases after the holiday season.
A short week on tap, with U.S. markets closed on Monday in observance of Martin Luther King Day.
Best to Your Week!