Weekend Stock Market Outlook

Stock Market Outlook entering the Week of October 11th = Uptrend

    • ADX Directional Indicators: Uptrend
    • Price & Volume Action: Uptrend
    • Elliott Wave Analysis: Uptrend

ANALYSIS

The stock market outlook flipped over early last week, and starts this week in an uptrend.

Technical analysis of daily SPX prices

2020-10-11-SPX Trendline Analysis-Daily

The S&P500 ($SPX) experienced a really good week, finding support at the 50-day moving average and rallying from there. The ADX and price/volume flipped to an uptrend on Monday. And since price rose above 3429, Elliott Wave also shows an uptrend, and more than likely a switch to a bullish count like the one mentioned last week.

COMMENTARY

Stimulus remains the driving force behind the U.S. markets. Only right now, it’s the negotiations, not the actual money. It doesn’t appear to be a “will they / won’t they” decision. Both political parties seem to recognize that government assistance is still required to keep the economy afloat while the pandemic continues to play out. The question is how much will be approved (converging around 2 trillion), and when it will get passed (pre or post-election).

The Fed is also pushing for renewed fiscal support from the legislature, and remains ready to keep policy “accommodating” (i.e. expect interest rates to remain low for a while).

Best to your week!

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