Bad News for Beta – Stock Correlations Soar

From the desk of Tyler Durden over at Zero Hedge:

…look at the correlations between the 10 industry sectors of the S&P 500. At 97.2% average correlation, U.S. stocks are moving in lock step to a degree we haven’t seen since the depth of the Financial Crisis. This is not the normal course of business, to say the least. More commonly, some stocks go up while others decline.

Granted, this is abnormally high, and suggests that the markets aren’t functioning the way they should. But the 10 industry sectors of the S&P500 are composed of stocks, and stocks are part of just one asset class. So even with an abnormally high correlation, stocks are still stocks and will tend to move together…just not to this degree.

This is the reason that diversification and tactical asset allocation require investing in asset classes outside of stocks and bonds. Case in point, the article goes on to highlight the only asset class that isn’t following stocks: precious metals (specifically gold and silver).

These precious metals still show negative correlations to stocks (negative 55% for gold and negative 35% for silver).

Sources:
Stock Correlations Soar To 97.2%: Here’s Why
Tyler Durden | Zero Hedge
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/stock-correlations-soar-972-heres-why


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Reflect

Reflect on what is important

Source:
Extra Credit Projects
http://www.extracreditprojects.com/

Ads of the World
http://adsoftheworld.com/media/outdoor/911_memorial_reflect

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Are You Paid for Being Productive?

Are you paid for being productive? With all the focus on “productivity” these days, one would think that being more productive would be recognized by employers and rewarded. The answer – not so much…

Hat Tip to B. Ritholtz

US Wages
Click for a Full Size Version

Source:
The Limping Middle Class
Robert B. Reich | New York Times


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Why Low-Beta Strategies are Worth Another Look (via Portfolio Investing Blog: Portfolioist)

Why Low-Beta Strategies are Worth Another Look Just last month Geoff Considine wrote an article about why investors may want to explore low beta strategies in a  highly volatile market.  Here at the Portfolioist, we thought we’d re-post the article in reponse to this week’s  wild ride on Wall Street. The recent volatility in the stock market has many investors trying to figure out how to maintain some exposure to equities, while limiting their exposure to the big ups and downs of … Read More

via Portfolio Investing Blog: Portfolioist

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Top Secret Goldman Report (via Investing for Cashflow)

This is interesting, if for nothing other than another perspective on the US economy, as well as Europe and China.

In two words, “not good”.

Top Secret Goldman Report Zero hedge uploaded a top secret report on the state of the market from Goldman. Definitely an interesting read! In summary, Goldman proposed key trades for Europe are: Buy 5Y Protection on iTraxx Series 9 9-100% Tranche Buy 6 Month EURCHF One-Touch Put Option While on China Goldman recommends its best clients to the following: […] … Read More

via Investing for Cashflow

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Translating Financial Gurus

Here is an example of how to translate financial talking heads.

Hat Tip: The Big Picture

Sources:
Thanks Jim
Abstruse Goose
http://abstrusegoose.com/391

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Japan 2.0 Chart Pattern

With the sell-off in equities in the month of August, the U.S. markets are now mirroring the Japanese sell-off back in 2000. From a technical analysis perspective, the chart below is creepy. It suggests that US stocks could fall a lot more.

US Stock Markets mirroring Japanese Stock Marktes

Source: The Big Picture (www.ritholtz.com)

We can’t know with absolute certainty whether US stocks will continue to follow a similar pattern. As Barry Ritholtz correctly points out:

Where our Fed stepped up and flooded the system with liquidity, the Japanese central bank did not. Whether that means the US avoided a Japan like decade plus long recession, or merely delayed it, has yet to be determined . . .

Sources:
Turning Japanese: SPX vs Nikkei Index (10 Year Lag)
The Big Picture
http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2011/08/turning-japanese-spx-vs-nikkei-index-10-year-lag-2/

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