Weekend Stock Market Outlook – November 26 2023

Stock Market Outlook entering the Week of November 26th = Uptrend

  • ADX Directional Indicators: Uptrend
  • Price & Volume Signals: Uptrend
  • Elliott Wave Analysis: Downtrend

ANALYSIS
The stock market outlook exits the Thanksgiving holiday in an uptrend.

The S&P500 ($SPX) gained 1% during last week’s holiday shortened trading session. The index starts this week ~5% above the 50-day moving average, and ~6.5% above the 200-day moving average.

Technical analysis of daily SPX prices

SPX Price & Volume Chart for the Week of Nov 26 2023

The ADX directional indicators and price/volume are bullish, while Elliott Wave analysis continues to wait for the current wave to end.  4607 is the key resistance level.

Technical analysis of daily SPX prices

SPX Elliott Wave Analysis for the Week of Nov 26 2023

COMMENTARY
Last week’s bond auction went well, supporting equity markets rather than hindering their move higher.  FOMC meeting minutes were released on Tuesday, and were interpreted as dovish by most pundits.

This week, Q3 GDP data is released on Wednesday, PCE data on Thursday, followed by a speech from Fed Chair Powell on Friday.

Best to Your Week!

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Sources: Bloomberg, CNBC, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Hedgeye, Stockcharts.com, U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

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